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KCCA issues Flood Outlook due to rain in the forecast

News release                                                                                                 

For immediate release

St. Thomas – Kettle Creek Conservation Authority is issuing a Watershed Conditions Statement—Flood Outlook, reminding residents to take extra caution near creeks and stream as rainy weather moves into the area. 

Environment and Climate Change Canada is tracking a strong Colorado low-pressure system that is expected to move into the area early Friday morning, bringing prolonged rain with total accumulations in the range of 20-25mm before the system moves out of the area Saturday evening.  The bulk of the rain is expected on Friday.  At this time the track of the weather system is uncertain, and as such precipitation timing and amounts may change.  

“Increased runoff is expected, which will result in elevated water levels in local creeks and streams,” says Jennifer Dow, Water Resources Supervisor for Kettle Creek Conservation Authority.  Local watercourses may reach or exceed their banks, leading to localized flooding in floodplains, ponding in low lying areas and agricultural fields, and locations with poor drainage.  Watershed areas that receive prolonged heavy rain have a heightened risk for flash and minor localized flooding. 

Parents are reminded to keep children and pets away from all watercourses.  Banks adjacent to creeks and streams are very slippery and, when combined with cold, fast-moving water, pose a serious hazard. 

Currently, water levels throughout the watershed are normal, however conditions can change quickly.  Residents along Kettle Creek are advised to monitor their local conditions.  People are reminded to remove property from low-lying areas and to clear snow and ice from storm drains.

At this time, forecasted wind speeds, and current Lake Erie water levels are not conducive to storm surge in Port Stanley.  A close watch on local conditions is recommended should conditions change.

KCCA will closely monitor local conditions and will provide any updates if conditions warrant. This Watershed Conditions Statement—Flood Outlook will remain in effect until 12:00PM on Sunday, April 2, 2023.  For further updates log on to  or connect with Kettle Creek Conservation Authority socially on Twitter @KettleCreekCA or on Facebook at .


Jennifer Dow
Water Resources Supervisor
519-631-1270 x228

The Kettle Creek Conservation Authority issues three levels of messages:

  • Watershed Conditions Statement: a general notice of weather conditions that could pose a risk to personal safety or which have the potential to lead to flooding. There are two variations of these:
    • Watershed Conditions Statement – Water Safety: High flows, unsafe banks, melting ice or other factors could be dangerous for recreational users such as anglers, canoeists, hikers, children, pets, etc. Flooding is not expected.
    • Watershed Conditions Statement – Flood Outlook: Early notice of the potential for flooding based on weather forecasts calling for heavy rain, snow melt, high wind or other conditions that could lead to high runoff, cause ice jams, lakeshore flooding or erosion.
  • Flood Watch: Flooding is possible in specific watercourses or municipalities. Municipalities, emergency services and individual landowners in flood-prone areas should prepare.
  • Flood Warning: Flooding is imminent or already occurring in specific watercourses or municipalities. Municipalities and individuals should take action to deal with flood conditions. This may include road closures and evacuations.

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