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Kettle Creek Conservation Authority

Home » KCCA issues a Watershed Conditions Statement – Flood Outlook. There is an increased risk of nuisance flooding as a low-pressure system moves into Southern Ontario Tuesday night.

KCCA issues a Watershed Conditions Statement – Flood Outlook. There is an increased risk of nuisance flooding as a low-pressure system moves into Southern Ontario Tuesday night.

News release

For immediate release

St. Thomas – Kettle Creek Conservation Authority is issuing a Watershed Conditions Statement—Flood Outlook and reminding residents to take extra caution near creeks and streams due to significant rainfall forecast and the potential for flooding conditions.

A soggy Colorado Low is expected to bring double digit temperatures and 30-50mm of rain to the area starting overnight Tuesday, before tapering off early Thursday morning.  Rain is forecast to be heavy at times.  Precipitation, lack of snow cover and frozen ground conditions may result in higher-than-normal water levels and flows and localized nuisance flooding in low-lying areas may be possible.  At this time, the track of the low-pressure system is uncertain, and as such precipitation type, timing and amounts may change.

“Currently water levels throughout the watershed are slightly elevated due to the recent snowmelt and rain event.  Unfortunately, Southern Ontario winter weather can be unpredictable.  This can make rivers and lakes more dangerous than normal as conditions can change quickly,” says Jennifer Dow, Water Resources Supervisor for Kettle Creek Conservation Authority. 

No major flooding is expected at this time. However, some watercourses may reach or exceed their banks, leading to localized flooding in floodplains, ponding in low lying areas and agricultural fields, and locations with poor drainage.  Watershed areas that receive prolonged heavy rain have a heightened risk for flash and minor localized flooding. 

Kettle Creek Conservation Authority is reminding parents to use extreme care around all watercourses, flood plain areas, reservoirs and ponds.  “The banks can be very slippery, and the water is fast flowing and very cold,” warns Dow.

Residents along Kettle Creek are advised to monitor their local conditions.  It is also recommended to remove property from low-lying areas and to clear any debris from storm drains. 

Updates will be made available if conditions warrant.  This Watershed Conditions Statement—Flood Outlook will remain in effect until noon on Thursday, January 5, 2023.  For further updates log on to or connect with Kettle Creek Conservation Authority socially on Twitter @KettleCreekCA or on Facebook at .


Jennifer Dow
Water Conservation Supervisor
519-631-1270 x228

The Kettle Creek Conservation Authority issues three levels of messages:

  • Watershed Conditions Statement: a general notice of weather conditions that could pose a risk to personal safety or which have the potential to lead to flooding. There are two variations of these:
    • Watershed Conditions Statement – Water Safety: High flows, unsafe banks, melting ice or other factors could be dangerous for recreational users such as anglers, canoeists, hikers, children, pets, etc. Flooding is not expected
    • Watershed Conditions Statement – Flood Outlook: Early notice of the potential for flooding based on weather forecasts calling for heavy rain, snow melt, high wind or other conditions that could lead to high runoff, cause ice jams, lakeshore flooding or erosion.
  • Flood Watch: Flooding is possible in specific watercourses or municipalities. Municipalities, emergency services and individual landowners in flood-prone areas should prepare.
  • Flood Warning: Flooding is imminent or already occurring in specific watercourses or municipalities. Municipalities and individuals should take action to deal with flood conditions. This may include road closures and evacuations

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