For immediate release
St. Thomas – Environment Canada is monitoring an intense, slow-moving Colorado low that is forecast to bring rain transitioning to snow starting on Thursday and continuing into the weekend. In addition, a strong cold front will sweep through the province on Friday, bringing strong to damaging southwesterly winds to the Lower Great Lakes Region through the weekend before becoming lighter on Sunday as the system makes its way out of the region.
Areas along the Lake Erie shoreline will see strong, gusty winds from the southwest ranging from 40-60km/hr with higher gusts of 90-110km/hr possible beginning Friday morning and continuing all day Friday, peaking Friday evening. The gusty winds will continue through Saturday, becoming lighter on Sunday as the cold front makes its way through the province.
“Port Stanley is especially vulnerable to winds over 50km/hr from the southwest, which means with the current forecast, there is a higher potential for flooding and erosion along the shoreline,” says Jennifer Dow, Water Resources Supervisor for the Kettle Creek Conservation Authority.
Storm surge can cause shoreline erosion, and damage to shoreline structures due to damaging waves and localized flooding. Based on the current forecast, flood uprush activity could impact low lying areas along the Lake Erie shoreline in particular around the traffic circle and the lower section of William Street in Port Stanley. Residents are urged to monitor their local conditions and take appropriate action should conditions change.
Residents should take extra caution to avoid areas where flooding is occurring during significant wind events. The combination of slippery banks, waves, waves overtopping shoreline structures, and fast-moving water can be dangerous. Standing water can also present its own unseen hazards. Children and pets should be kept away from flowing or standing water as well as shoreline areas.
KCCA staff will continue to monitor conditions and provide updates as warranted. This Shoreline Condition Statement—Flood Outlook for the Lake Erie Shoreline will remain in effect until Monday, December 26, 2022, at 12:00 PM. For further updates, log on to www.kettlecreekconservation.on.ca or connect with Kettle Creek Conservation Authority socially on Facebook and Twitter @KettleCreekCA.
Water Conservation Supervisor
The Kettle Creek Conservation Authority issues three levels of messages:
- Watershed Conditions Statement (Previously High Water Safety Bulletin): a general notice of weather conditions that could pose a risk to personal safety or which have the potential to lead to flooding. There are two variations of these:
- Watershed Conditions Statement – Water Safety: High flows, unsafe banks, melting ice or other factors could be dangerous for recreational users such as anglers, canoeists, hikers, children, pets, etc. Flooding is not expected
- Watershed Conditions Statement – Flood Outlook: Early notice of the potential for flooding based on weather forecasts calling for heavy rain, snow melt, high wind or other conditions that could lead to high runoff, cause ice jams, lakeshore flooding or erosion.
- Flood Watch (Previously Flood Advisory): Flooding is possible in specific watercourses or municipalities. Municipalities, emergency services and individual landowners in flood-prone areas should prepare.
- Flood Warning (No change): Flooding is imminent or already occurring in specific watercourses or municipalities. Municipalities and individuals should take action to deal with flood conditions. This may include road closures and evacuations.