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Kettle Creek Conservation Authority

Home » Flood Watch – Update Lake Erie Shoreline

Flood Watch – Update Lake Erie Shoreline

News Release
For immediate release

 St. Thomas—Residents in Port Stanley are advised that the sustained winds from the south-southwest (65 km/hr with gusts up to 110km/h) may create a storm surge. The extent of the surge will depend on the direction of and speed of the sustained winds.   There is some uncertainty in the extent of the surge due to the existing lake ice.

The Great Lakes Operational Storm Surge model for February 24, 2019 is forecasting 1.4m at Port Stanley with waves to 2.42m from the south-southwest, peaking around 3 to 4 a.m. on Monday morning February 25, 2019.

This surge and waves may create shoreline flooding, cause bluff erosion, and push lake ice onto shorelines.  Residents asked to monitor their local conditions and take necessary precautions overnight Sunday and into Monday morning.

KCCA will closely monitor local conditions and will provide any updates if conditions warrant. This watershed conditions statement—flood outlook will remain in effect until Monday, February 25.  For further updates log on to www.kettlecreekconservation.on.ca or connect with Kettle Creek Conservation Authority socially on Facebook and Twitter @KettleCreekCA.

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Marianne Levogiannis
Public Relations Supervisor
519-631-1270 x224

The Kettle Creek Conservation Authority issues three levels of messages:

  • Watershed Conditions Statement (Previously High Water Safety Bulletin): a general notice of weather conditions that could pose a risk to personal safety or which have the potential to lead to flooding. There are two variations of these:
    • Watershed Conditions Statement – Water Safety: High flows, unsafe banks, melting ice or other factors could be dangerous for recreational users such as anglers, canoeists, hikers, children, pets, etc. Flooding is not expected
    • Watershed Conditions Statement – Flood Outlook: Early notice of the potential for flooding based on weather forecasts calling for heavy rain, snow melt, high wind or other conditions that could lead to high runoff, cause ice jams, lakeshore flooding or erosion.
  • Flood Watch (Previously Flood Advisory): Flooding is possible in specific watercourses or municipalities. Municipalities, emergency services and individual landowners in flood-prone areas should prepare.
  • Flood Warning (No change): Flooding is imminent or already occurring in specific watercourses or municipalities. Municipalities and individuals should take action to deal with flood conditions. This may include road closures and evacuations.
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