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Home » KCCA issues a Watershed Conditions Statement—Flood Outlook

KCCA issues a Watershed Conditions Statement—Flood Outlook

News release                                                                                                 
For immediate release

St. Thomas – Kettle Creek Conservation Authority is issuing a Watershed Conditions Statement—Flood Outlook and reminding residents to take extra caution near creeks and streams due to significant rainfall forecast and the potential for ponding in low-lying areas.

Environment Canada is tracking a strong, rapidly moving low-pressure system that is forecast to bring blizzard-like conditions, rain and gusty southwesterly winds to the Great Lakes region, beginning with 10-15 cm of heavy snow starting late Friday and overnight into Saturday before transitioning into rain.  Cumulative rainfall totals of 15-30 mm are expected before the system moves out of the province late Saturday.

Currently, water levels throughout the watershed have dropped considerably from the 30 to 40mm of rain received earlier this week.  However, forecasted rain on Friday combined with snowmelt and frozen ground conditions will cause local creeks and streams to rise again almost as high as what was experienced this past Tuesday. This can make rivers and lakes more dangerous than normal as conditions can change quickly,” says Jennifer Dow, Water Resources Supervisor for the Kettle Creek Conservation Authority. 

No major flooding is expected at this time. However, some smaller watercourses may reach or exceed their banks, leading to localized flooding in floodplains, ponding in low lying areas and agricultural fields, and locations with poor drainage.  Watershed areas that receive prolonged heavy rain on top of accumulated snow have a heightened risk for flash and minor localized flooding.  At this time, the track of the low-pressure system is uncertain, and as such precipitation type, timing and amounts may change.

Kettle Creek Conservation Authority is reminding parents to use extreme caution around all watercourses, flood plain areas, reservoirs, and ponds.  “The banks can be very slippery, and the water is fast flowing and very cold,” warns Dow.

Updates will be made available if conditions warrant.  This Watershed Conditions Statement—Flood Outlook will remain in effect until noon, Monday, January 15, 2024.  For further updates log on to or connect with Kettle Creek Conservation Authority socially on Twitter @KettleCreekCA or on Facebook at .


Jennifer Dow
Water Conservation Supervisor
519-631-1270 x228

The Kettle Creek Conservation Authority issues three levels of messages:

  • Watershed Conditions Statement: a general notice of weather conditions that could pose a risk to personal safety or which have the potential to lead to flooding. There are two variations of these:
    • Watershed Conditions Statement – Water Safety: High flows, unsafe banks, melting ice or other factors could be dangerous for recreational users such as anglers, canoeists, hikers, children, pets, etc. Flooding is not expected
    • Watershed Conditions Statement – Flood Outlook: Early notice of the potential for flooding based on weather forecasts calling for heavy rain, snow melt, high wind or other conditions that could lead to high runoff, cause ice jams, lakeshore flooding or erosion.
  • Flood Watch: Flooding is possible in specific watercourses or municipalities. Municipalities, emergency services and individual landowners in flood-prone areas should prepare.
  • Flood Warning: Flooding is imminent or already occurring in specific watercourses or municipalities. Municipalities and individuals should take action to deal with flood conditions. This may include road closures and evacuations
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